Higher the risk higher the return
The above
statement is what is very common when one evaluates for investment . It is said
that when you want higher return you should take higher risk but it is also
said that it is not necessary that when you take higher risk you are sure to
get higher return . Many investor get confused with this . Some even start
thinking if there is not surety of higher return when I take higher risk then why
I should take higher risk.
First we need to
understand what do we mean by risk. For a common man it mean loss or chances of
negative return . But risk in investment means uncertainty in expected
return . In other words if there is more
probability of getting expected return it is less risky and if there is lesser
probability of getting expected return it is more risky .
So Probability
factor becomes a very important measure for risk. What are the factors that
affect the probability – nature of asset , nature of security , time , economic
factors, market dynamics, people expectations
etc
Most Indians
refrain from investing in Equities as their understanding about risk from
equities is not correct . They think it as stock price , indices only . These
price and indices are symbolic representation at any point of time whereas
equities are in larger terms linked with people growth aspiration ,better
living aspiration . These leads to demand for creation of more and quality
product and services by some or the other companies or industries . This will
lead to valuation , revaluation and new price discovery of stocks and rise of
indices . The constant valuation, revaluation and price discovery leads of
volatility in short term but in long term quality always dictates its term and any
investment in such equities lead to much
higher return. So when we say higher the risk it implies the tolerance level
and patience level in short term when there is volatility . If selection of
investment in good company is done then good return will come soon and later .
Some can argue
what is there is economic slump ( like recession in 2009 ) . Yes there might be
negative impact on return may be of some months or up to few years . But again
if you believe in law of nature then again not to worry . We have seen even
after the worst of cyclone , tsunami when the whole village or town is destroyed
first nature cools down and people again work hard to restore lives and infrastructure
back to normalcy or even better . So always remember there is one truth of this
whole world – everyone strives for growth and betterment . All nations, all
economies , all corporate , all individuals all want growth and so the economic
slump will not last forever and growth will come sooner or later as growth
again is linked with our aspirations and better life which is through some
products or services and investment in the equities of those companies will
ALWAYS give you a higher return .
So we can say higher the risk tolerance (
showing patience by staying invested and not getting affected by volatility ) in
short term but invested in good quality equity ( i.e stock of those companies
which are producing good product in demand ) there is ALWAYS a higher return
and no risk of losing in long term.
No comments:
Post a Comment