Sunday, 13 October 2019
Thursday, 26 September 2019
Was Finance Minister right in reducing Corporate tax rate ?
Was Finance Minister right in
reducing Corporate tax rate ?
Recently FM has reduced corporate
tax rate and made it at par with many global economies . The step has been
taken to counter economic slowdown . Many feel its incorrect and rather than
this individual tax rate should have been reduced or tax on product reduced or
interest rate reduced to augment consumption . Well these people can have their
own logic but I support what FM has done .
Lets analyse both Corporate vs
Individual cases .
I feel the one who takes risk , whose
earnings are more transparent , who pays taxes should be rewarded first which
is corporates here . The one whose survival is in growth and non growth is a
concern should be rewarded first than the one whose major concern is survival and
not growth and most importantly his( individual ) survival is dependent on
growth of first ( corporate ).
A promoter takes risk on his
capital, spends time and energy to build and develop a business and a employees
enjoys the fruit of this growth . Yes employees do contribute for business
growth but are paid salary , perks etc. They go on official tour , stay in good
hotel , move by flight etc . Are they worried about the expenses which they are
incurring ? No . Its being born by their employer company . So a employees lives
and enjoys a good life at company’s cost and has no risk of company business
failure . The only time he is worried when his salary gets reduced or
retrenched from job . Who has got the first hit from the risk of business
failure – corporate or its employee ? So who needs to be protected first ? If a
company fails employees loses his job , if the company grows employees also
grow in terms of salary etc . Also whose fortune is dependent on whom ?
Now coming to individual (
consumer ) . We all are individual so will always look for our benefit first . We
want ourselves to be protected and rewarded because we feel all are paying tax
. But that’s not the reality . How many of
individuals disclose their earnings correctly particularly those who are doing
business, self employed , professional or even in private sector ? How many pay
taxes correctly ? If a businessmen showing less earning , paying less tax why
he should be rewarded for his purchase of big car by lower interest rate or
lower tax . Has he contributed to the revenue of the country for which he
should be given the benefit ?
It’s a reality that is I have to
pay 10000 as EMI I will think twice for going for loan but if the same EMI becomes
4000 due to reduced interest rate then most Indians will try to take advantage
of it . This will lead to more consumption , revival of growth and increase in
inflation . That will force RBI to increase the interest rate and the EMI will
get increased . So are we not going to end up a situation where people might
have borrowed more than their paying capacity ( main reason for present
slowdown ) , cases of default might creeps in and again entering into economic
slowdown phase . Is it a long term solution ?
Reduced corporate tax makes India
attractive investment market for foreign companies , competition will lead to better
quality products , competition will also
lower the cost and lowering the cost means consumer will get at a lower price.
Yes I do agree that honest tax
payer should be rewarded but that when I look at dishonest tax payers . Government
already doing a lot to increase the tax base and there has been increase in tax
revenue last few years. I am sure that individuals tax rate will also get
reduced in coming years as felt by many but it’s a step by step process .
Wednesday, 25 September 2019
AM I PRODUCTIVE ?
AM I PRODUCTIVE ?
What has tempted me to think on above
topic ? If I see anywhere I find people just glued to their mobile phone .
After that to TV or internet or Netflex movie . The pattern of our life has
changed and becoming from bad to worse . I don’t know what life means to
different person . So I tried to ask myself what my life means to me ?
Answer was “happiness every
second of my life “ . Going by this logic for most may be mobile , social media
,entertainment if gives happiness then they have right interpretation of life .
So again thinking I got the answer “ happiness every second of my life but through
what is productive for life “ .
I have been hearing the word
productive since beginning of my career . In my early part of my career when
anyone used to say about productivity or productive employee it was more
related with how that person was helping in growth of organisation , business ,
adding more revenue . So productivity was more with success , money and career
growth . Yes this gives happiness to many but is it a perfect scenario ?
With passage of time , experience
and interaction with hard realities of life my interpretation of productivity
has now got changed . My understanding of productivity is now in holistic sense
, more to do with life .
We live 60 or 70 or 80 years of life . If I
take a person who lived say 75 years of his life it means he has lived 236.53
crore seconds of his life . But how many of his second has been productive ?
When I am saying Productive I
mean am I using every second of my life correctly ? We all know time is the
most precious thing in our life , it has a limit and we live a fixed life . But
in that life also we do not live a single life but multiple life ( childhood,
youth , mid , old ) . Time once lost is not recovered . I can not again become
40 year old or 17 year old .
Productivity for a kid is
enjoying freely , productivity for a student means studying well but at the
same time enjoying his youth times as well . For the ones who are in job
productivity does not only mean earning more revenue for the company and salary
in return but spending quality time with family and others who matter in his
life .
In life there are many aspects –
work , relationship, health, entertainment , relaxing , enjoyment etc etc . We
spend our 24 hours every day involved in any one of these . The allocation of
time to different aspects varies for different age group but there is limit of
everything . Overindulgence in any activity is never good . Doing exercise ,
meditation , doing puja are all good things but these aspects also have a limit
. one should not end up spending time more than required or for some things
even less than required . Balancing of time w.r.t every aspect of your life
which adds productivity is very important .
What is important from
Productivity point of view if whatever we do should make us happy but at the
same time not at the cost of harming anyone . So now I will redefine Productivity as “ happiness every second of my life but through
activities which is productive for life and that does not harm anyone “,
Generally we have seen people
working 12-14 hours a day regularly , called workaholic , praised by all but is
he really productive ? yes he might not
be harming anyone else but harming himself . Is he spending some time to
meditate , relax his mind , spending quality time with family . We have only 24
hours and you require a minimum 6-7 hours of sleep also . yes this person might
be productive for his employer but not for himself in true sense . Yes he might
be finding happiness but at what cost . if ignoring child when young will he
get same response from his later years adult child when he has retired ?. There can be many different types of examples
.
How to know the deviations ,
overindulgence or underindulgence and not balancing between each important
aspects of life .
List down each aspect fully
understanding its relevance for life as a whole . Of 24 hours earmark minimum
time you should be giving to each aspect . Try to maintain that . We are all
human being and bound to err so every day before sleeping spend at least 5-10
minutes with yourself -sit quietly , ask yourself, introspect what you did the
whole day and your inner self will give you answer what you should not be doing
, what you missed and improvement will come slowly but surely .
The basic purpose of this article
is to awaken everyone before its too late and we repent after 20-30 years . Looking
at todays generation over indulgence only in tech related things I don’t know what
the life will be then.
Monday, 16 September 2019
Wednesday, 11 September 2019
Economic slowdown. cause and remedy
Economic
slowdown. cause and remedy
( PL READ - YOU DONT NEED TO BE AN ECONOMIST TO UNDERSTAND
THIS ISSUE )
Everyone is blaming government for slowdown . This article is make people understand what economic slowdown means , how it happens and how can be corrected .
The creation and correction lies totally in the hand of consumer . So any citizen if he blames government should read this article .
Consumer or citizens create demand by buying any product . Industries and companies are supplier who cater to the demand I.e manufacture and sell to the consumer .
Now since everyone wants a better life , have aspiration for better lifestyle products demand grows and so grows the purchase . To meet the growing demand supply also grows through more products manufacturing . Up till now no issues .
Now enters the lending institutions ( Banks and NBFCs) . Seeing the growing demand they start providing loans to individuals and capital for investment for more manufacturing .
It's a general principal of life " paav Uti hi pasaro Jitni lambi Chadar Ho " . Simply meaning live within your means or spend from your earnings or borrow only that much which you can pay comfortably on time .
But since everyone is chasing growth , availability of money is easy so overspending starts . All of us took pride in 8% GDP growth but anyone ever even questioned that was it a sustainable growth ?
What happened that very soon individuals expenses which has overgrown the income realised this and the only way they could have countered the situation is go slow in purchase I.e buying getting deferred or lowered till the income -expenses mismatch normalised . This is what led to economic slowdown . In India there are other structural changes also happening ( consumer choices and preferences changing like shared mobility through Ola ,Uber preferred in place of car purchase ) .There are many structural and demographic changes also happening leading to emergence of new style of living , emergence of new type of industries and may be some traditional industries either die or reshape themselves .
Now the supplier I.e companies have already taken loans from bank and they have to pay interest . they have got other costs ( salary cost of increased manpower strength ) but there income from reducing sales gone down and so profit also getting reduced . Now these companies think one of the decision is to lay off some employees to counter the situation .
I request my readers to see the audited balance sheet and profit and loss statement of any company which is laying off employees and crying of losses . I find in last 5 years all have earned huge profit every year , good reserves and surplus , paid good dividend also to their shareholders , good book value . So where is the loss which any of these companies are talking about . Yes profit might have got reduced vis a vis last year but is that a loss ?
Now the moment companies lay off employees or do salary cut more people are now added who have lesser money to purchase and again adding to more slowdown .
Government has to step in and through certain policy measures along with RBI they try to reduce interest rate so that loans are cheaper , some tax advantage also given so that more money for spending at the end of individuals .
Economic slowdown is nothing but an after effect of chasing unrealistic aggressive growth by all in economy but it is led by individuals and only individuals can again end this slowdown by their normal purchasing activities .
My only fear is that this economic slowdown might not get compounded because of greed of promoters of companies . They might aggravate the situation by laying off employees rather than taking the brunt for a year as they all have huge accumulated profit in their balance sheet . If these companies operate at a low profit for a year believe me this economic slowdown is just a matter of some months or max a year but if they add fuel to the fire ( laying off employees ) then will prolong. Government role is just to make policies which can ease the situation but action of individual consumers and companies will what eventually make this good or worse.
Everyone is blaming government for slowdown . This article is make people understand what economic slowdown means , how it happens and how can be corrected .
The creation and correction lies totally in the hand of consumer . So any citizen if he blames government should read this article .
Consumer or citizens create demand by buying any product . Industries and companies are supplier who cater to the demand I.e manufacture and sell to the consumer .
Now since everyone wants a better life , have aspiration for better lifestyle products demand grows and so grows the purchase . To meet the growing demand supply also grows through more products manufacturing . Up till now no issues .
Now enters the lending institutions ( Banks and NBFCs) . Seeing the growing demand they start providing loans to individuals and capital for investment for more manufacturing .
It's a general principal of life " paav Uti hi pasaro Jitni lambi Chadar Ho " . Simply meaning live within your means or spend from your earnings or borrow only that much which you can pay comfortably on time .
But since everyone is chasing growth , availability of money is easy so overspending starts . All of us took pride in 8% GDP growth but anyone ever even questioned that was it a sustainable growth ?
What happened that very soon individuals expenses which has overgrown the income realised this and the only way they could have countered the situation is go slow in purchase I.e buying getting deferred or lowered till the income -expenses mismatch normalised . This is what led to economic slowdown . In India there are other structural changes also happening ( consumer choices and preferences changing like shared mobility through Ola ,Uber preferred in place of car purchase ) .There are many structural and demographic changes also happening leading to emergence of new style of living , emergence of new type of industries and may be some traditional industries either die or reshape themselves .
Now the supplier I.e companies have already taken loans from bank and they have to pay interest . they have got other costs ( salary cost of increased manpower strength ) but there income from reducing sales gone down and so profit also getting reduced . Now these companies think one of the decision is to lay off some employees to counter the situation .
I request my readers to see the audited balance sheet and profit and loss statement of any company which is laying off employees and crying of losses . I find in last 5 years all have earned huge profit every year , good reserves and surplus , paid good dividend also to their shareholders , good book value . So where is the loss which any of these companies are talking about . Yes profit might have got reduced vis a vis last year but is that a loss ?
Now the moment companies lay off employees or do salary cut more people are now added who have lesser money to purchase and again adding to more slowdown .
Government has to step in and through certain policy measures along with RBI they try to reduce interest rate so that loans are cheaper , some tax advantage also given so that more money for spending at the end of individuals .
Economic slowdown is nothing but an after effect of chasing unrealistic aggressive growth by all in economy but it is led by individuals and only individuals can again end this slowdown by their normal purchasing activities .
My only fear is that this economic slowdown might not get compounded because of greed of promoters of companies . They might aggravate the situation by laying off employees rather than taking the brunt for a year as they all have huge accumulated profit in their balance sheet . If these companies operate at a low profit for a year believe me this economic slowdown is just a matter of some months or max a year but if they add fuel to the fire ( laying off employees ) then will prolong. Government role is just to make policies which can ease the situation but action of individual consumers and companies will what eventually make this good or worse.
Monday, 9 September 2019
Economic Slowdown catalysed by few Individuals
Economic Slowdown catalysed by few Individuals
To understand economic slowdown and massive talk about auto
slowdown I tried to look into balance sheet and income statement of Maruti (
which has 50% market share in car segment ) .
Some facts
Profit & Loss account of Maruti
Suzuki India
|
------------------- in Rs. Cr.
-------------------
|
Mar '19
|
Mar '18
|
Mar '17
|
Mar '16
|
Mar '15
|
Sales Turnover
|
86,020.30
|
81,994.40
|
77,266.20
|
65,054.60
|
55,133.60
|
Reported Net Profit
|
7,500.60
|
7,721.80
|
7,350.20
|
5,364.30
|
3,711.20
|
Earning Per Share (Rs)
|
248.30
|
255.62
|
243.32
|
177.58
|
122.85
|
Equity Dividend (%)
|
1,600.00
|
1,600.00
|
1,500.00
|
700.00
|
500.00
|
Book Value (Rs)
|
1,527.46
|
1,382.33
|
1,206.01
|
989.28
|
784.70
|
Balance Sheet of Maruti Suzuki India
|
------------------- in Rs. Cr.
-------------------
|
Mar '19
|
Mar '18
|
Mar '17
|
Mar '16
|
Mar '15
|
Reserves
|
45,990.50
|
41,606.30
|
36,280.10
|
29,733.20
|
23,553.20
|
Networth
|
46,141.50
|
41,757.30
|
36,431.10
|
29,884.20
|
23,704.20
|
Current Liabilities
|
15,976.80
|
16,915.50
|
13,865.00
|
11,564.70
|
8,013.60
|
Book Value (Rs)
|
1,527.46
|
1,382.33
|
1,206.01
|
989.28
|
784.70
|
I do not have last 3-4 months data but assuming that sales
are down as per various report should this company can be called a loss making
company which has fired thousands of employees .
Sitting on a net profit of 7500 cr which rose from 3711 cr
in just 4 years . Reserves doubled in same 4 years . Its very simple the
promoter wants book value not to go down and so be the very very high dividend payout
rate ( 1600% on face value of a share ) so has reduced the current liability through
salary cut/losses by firing employees .
Economic showdown is a result of lesser spending due to
lesser earning . Those thousands employee will add more to slowdown and not
solve the economic slowdown problems . If the Management had been prudent they
would have withered the present situation at least for a year as has enough
reserves ( 3 times of their current liability ) , can think of
skipping/reducing extremely high dividend ( reward to shareholder but most
going to promoter ) .
This is the analysis of just one company . If 100 such companies behave the same manner then the economic slowdown which could have been avoided will definitely balloon to unmanageable level as personal income will get reduced drastically ( layoffs ) which will have an impact on spending and consumption ,
This is the analysis of just one company . If 100 such companies behave the same manner then the economic slowdown which could have been avoided will definitely balloon to unmanageable level as personal income will get reduced drastically ( layoffs ) which will have an impact on spending and consumption ,
Just think and analyse how economic slowdown are
catalysed even by a profit making big company . Its not a God creation but a
result of greed of few individuals .
Saturday, 7 September 2019
Nurture India Consultants : Confusion of an Equity investor – what to do now ...
Nurture India Consultants : Confusion of an Equity investor – what to do now ...: Confusion of an Equity investor – what to do now ? Last 2 years return from equity fund has been low to negative , present looks ba...
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